Players taken in the fourth round or later have long odds of having a long NFL career.
Of the 790 players drafted in the fourth round or later between 2009 and 2013, only 311 (39 percent) remain with their original teams, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Some have jumped to other rosters, but on average, the shelf life of a low-round draft pick is short. Here is the yearly breakdown:
2009: 11 of 155 still with drafted team
2010: 17 of 157
2011: 63 of 158
2012: 86 of 158
2013: 132 of 162
In other words, a player drafted between the fourth and seventh rounds has about a 50-50 shot of still being in his team's plans after two years.