Jeff Risdon Updated 3/2/12 Once again this edition features trades, but this time just two: the Ethnic Slurs moving up to #2 and the Patriots dealing out of #31. I suspect there will be more trades than this in the first 40 picks, but we will know a lot more about that as the draft gets closer. It is still way too early to accurately slot teams with players, primarily because free agency has yet to kick off. This is also the time of year where coaches do as much homework and film work as they can on players that intrigue them, with input from scouting staffs and collegiate contacts they trust. My humble apologies for having to edit this twice thanks to my own troubles keeping my spreadsheet organized. I shall try to do better next time. 1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford. No change foreseen. Ever. 2. *Washington Ethnic Slurs (from STL): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor. Washington trades #6 overall, #70 overall, their 5th round pick this year and their 2013 1st round and 3rd round picks to the Rams to move up and select RG3. The Heisman Trophy winner has sky-high potential and a compelling charisma that the franchise has sorely lacked in recent years. He will absolutely be the #2 pick. 3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, T, USC. Hard for a top-shelf player to really help himself at the Combine, but Kalil pulled that off by showing up bigger and stronger than expected. The Vikings desperately need an OL upgrade, but they have to strongly consider Morris Claiborne here too. 4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama. This is a contingency pick; if the Browns sign Matt Flynn (as I think they will),then Richardson or Claiborne is the pick. If Flynn goes elsewhere (Seattle? Miami?) then I think the Browns seriously consider Ryan Tannehill here. 5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU. There is ample chatter that the Bucs really want Richardson as they currently have zero running backs under contract, but they also figure on losing both starting corners from a year ago in a pass-happy division loaded with Pro Bowl QBs. 6. *St. Louis Rams (from WAS): Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State. The Rams fall back, but still get a (they hope) impact player for a moribund offense. Blackmon looks like a great fit with the throwing style of Sam Bradford. 7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina. Will not be the most popular pick, but that has mattered not for JAX. They need pass rush sizzle, and Ingram brings great athletic versatility. The Jaguars are quietly building a very fast defense and Ingram fits with that theme. 8. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M. Another contingency pick; if they sign Flynn or Peyton Manning, I think they will look at guys like Riley Reiff or Kendall Wright here. Barring the free agent acquisition of a QB, Tannehill is a better prospect than Locker/Gabbert/Ponder from a year ago and will be drafted as such right here. 9. Carolina Panthers: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama. NFL coaches love Alabama DBs as Nick Saban is a secondary specialist who knows the NFL game. Kirkpatrick brings great length and reliability, and the Panthers can use a big-time talent at corner. A defensive tackle would not surprise me here. 10. Buffalo Bills: Quentin Coples, DT/DE, North Carolina. Coples is not without his risks, but his potential as a pass rusher both inside and out is too tantalizing for Buddy Nix and Chan Gailey to look past. Sleeper pick: Kendall Wright, if he is even still available. 11. Kansas City Chiefs: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame. A strong Combine solidified Floyd in the conversation as the best wideout in this draft. With the long-term of Dwyane Bowe cloudy, taking a receiver like Floyd makes sense. Dontari Poe and Fletcher Cox will get long consideration. 12. Seattle Seahawks: Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State. I think the Seahawks will be active traders on draft weekend and this pick could easily wind up with another team. Cox is a perceived draft board riser with very good potential, and the Seahawks need someone to pair with Red Bryant along the defensive front. 13. Arizona Cardinals: Mike Adams, T, Ohio State. Lots of different directions to look here, but with the underwhelming Levi Brown up in the air and issues on the other side as well, the massive Adams will get a long look from Ken Whisenhunt and Co. Consider this the Michael Floyd floor right now. 14. Dallas Cowboys: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis. The biggest (literally) winner from the Combine is a dream of DC Rob Ryan, a quick tackle with great strength that can collapse the pocket from the inside and move around on the line. If he is gone - -and he might be -- they will look at corners and perhaps David Decastro. 15. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College. Even though Andy Reid loathes spending his early picks on linebackers, even he can see that their ineptness at LB cost them several games last year and must be prominently addressed. 16. New York Jets: Courtney Upshaw, DE/LB, Alabama. Upshaw can do a lot of things very well, but he is not a dominant natural pass rusher. His thickness and violence against the run augment his value, and he has some ability to get to the QB. The Jets need two of him. 17. Cincinnati Bengals (from OAK): Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor. Marvin Lewis rejoices that his awful 40 yard dash at the Combine causes him to fall into his lap. Wright never had any issue getting behind the defense at Baylor and will ease the pressure on AJ Green on the other side. 18. San Diego Chargers: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin. With a line in upheaval well beyond the retirement of Kris Dielman, taking the best lineman on the board makes a whole lot of sense ... which is why they will strongly consider Donta Hightower or Janoris Jenkins here as well. 19. Chicago Bears: Donta Hightower, LB, Alabama. He has the physical prowess to play any of the LB positions in the modified Tampa 2, and can fill the shoes of a certain #54 when needed. 20. Tennessee Titans: Riley Reiff, T, Iowa. Not their biggest need but with a legendary offensive lineman as the head coach, it is hard to see the Titans passing on such a value here. Reiff could very well go long before here, and restocking the corner or DT positions makes sense in lieu of that. 21. Cincinnati Bengals: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska. Physical press man corner fits the Mike Zimmer scheme opposite Leon Hall, and his run support is a welcome bonus. I will be stunned if they do not use one of their two first rounders on a corner. 22. Cleveland Browns (from ATL): David Decastro, G, Stanford. This is the range where a great deal of trade activity typically goes down, and Decastro is the top-rated talent left. Not that the Browns could not use him... 23. Detroit Lions: Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama. He brings some "high" baggage, but Jenkins has shutdown corner potential and impressed in interviews at the Combine. The potential reward outweighs the risk for the DB-needy Lions. I will rip my Billy Sims jersey to shreds if they draft a running back here. 24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jamell Fleming, CB, Oklahoma. I have spoken with a couple of NFL personnel people that told me they believe Fleming could very well go in the first round. He is very solid and tackles well, though he does have some academic misconduct issues. Pittsburgh needs a lot of youth all over the roster and could deal down for more picks. 25. Denver Broncos: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU. Arguably the biggest loser of the Combine, Brockers has lost the mantra of being an athletic specimen capable of greatness. He still has good potential and will play the run well, which endears him to John Fox. 26. Houston Texans: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech. Hard to tell how well he can convert from an offense that threw about 10 times a game into the NFL, but Hill has the size/speed/hands to become a real gem. Houston must get Andre Johnson some better outside help than Jacoby Jones. 27. New England Patriots (from NO): Mark Barron, S, Alabama. Still the top safety even though he could not work out, and Belichick trusts his former underling Saban. Of course the Patriots will trade this pick for two second-rounders, which they will squander on a swing tackle and a dime corner... 28. Green Bay Packers: Devon Still, DT, Penn State. Still dominated at times and has the ability to pair with BJ Raji to make a nice interior wrecking crew along the defensive front. Kendall Reyes or Nick Perry wouldn’t surprise me here. 29. Baltimore Ravens: Cordy Glenn, OL, Georgia. Glenn is a versatile widebody springing up draft boards thanks to a great Senior Bowl week and a strong showing in Indy. With Ben Grubbs a free agent and fairly persistent issues at tackle, Glenn makes a lot of sense. So would a bigger receiver or perhaps even the successor to Joe Flacco. 30. San Francisco 49ers: Kendall Reyes, DE, UConn. A number of different ways to go for Team Harbaugh here, including trading out. Reyes is a crafty, underrated 5-technique that can provide reinforcement to the already strong line. A wideout or corner would not surprise me here. 31. *Oakland Raiders (from NE): Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina. Oakland trades their 2013 1st round and 4th round picks to move back into this draft and select the talented but inconsistent Gilmore to replace the departed Stanford Routt. If the Patriots keep both their 1st round picks in their current draft slots I will eat a wool hat. 32. New York Giants: Jonathan Martin, T, Stanford. Scouts are all over the map on Martin and slotting him is particularly tricky at this premature juncture; he could go in the top 10, he could fall well below here. New York must upgrade from David Diehl at tackle. Second Round 33. St. Louis Rams: Trumaine Johnson, CB, Montana 34. Indianapolis Colts: Alameda Ta-Amu, DT, Washington 35. Minnesota Vikings: Brandon Thompson, DT, Clemson 36. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Doug Martin, RB, Boise State 37. Cleveland Browns: Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois 38. Jacksonville Jaguars: Kelechi Osemele, OL, Iowa State 39. Washington Ethnic Slurs: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers 40. Miami Dolphins: Nick Perry, DE/OLB, USC 41. Buffalo Bills: Casey Hayward, CB, Vanderbilt 42. Carolina Panthers: Zack Brown, LB, North Carolina 43. Seattle Seahawks: Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State 44. Kansas City Chiefs: Andre Branch, DE, Clemson 45. Dallas Cowboys: Brandon Boykin, CB, Georgia 46. Philadelphia Eagles: Brandon Washington, G/T, Miami FL 47. New York Jets: David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech 48. New England Patriots (from OAK): Ronnell Lewis, LB, Oklahoma 49. San Diego Chargers: Orson Charles, TE, Georgia 50. Chicago Bears: Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson 51. Philadelphia Eagles (from ARI): Cam Johnson, DE, Virginia 52. Tennessee Titans: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina 53. Cincinnati Bengals: Chris Polk, RB, Washington 54. Detroit Lions: Mitchell Schwartz, T, California 55. Atlanta Falcons: Dwight Bill Bentley, CB, Louisiana Lafayette 56. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kevin Zeitler, G, Wisconsin 57. Denver Broncos: Colby Fleener, TE, Stanford 58. Houston Texans: Josh Norman, CB, Coastal Carolina 59. New Orleans Saints: Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State 60. Green Bay Packers: George Iloka, S, Boise State 61. Baltimore Ravens: Bobby Wagner, LB, Utah State 62. San Francisco 49ers: Joe Adams, WR/KR, Arkansas 63. New England Patriots: Chase Minnifield, CB, Virginia 64. New York Giants: Chandler Jones, DE, Syracuse Third Round 65. Indianapolis Colts: Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State 66. St. Louis Rams: Mychael Kendricks, LB, California 67. Minnesota Vikings: Harrison Smith, S, Notre Dame 68. Cleveland Browns: Marvin Jones, WR, California 69. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: TJ Graham, WR, North Carolina State 70. *St. Louis Rams (from WAS): Isaiah Pead, RB/RS, Cincinnati 71. Jacksonville Jaguars: Josh Robinson, CB/RS, Central Florida 72. Buffalo Bills: Kirk Cousins, QB, Michigan State 73. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma 74. Chicago Bears (from CAR): Mike Martin, DT, Michigan 75. Kansas City Chiefs: Nick Foles, QB, Arizona 76. Seattle Seahawks: Devon Wylie, WR/RS, Fresno State 77. Philadelphia Eagles: Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina 78. New York Jets: Chris Owusu, WR, Stanford 79. Oakland Raiders -- used on Terrelle Pryor in Supplemental Draft 80. San Diego Chargers: Jared Crick, DL, Nebraska 81. Chicago Bears: Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa 82. Arizona Cardinals: Bruce Irvin, OLB, West Virginia 83. Dallas Cowboys: Jake Bequette, DE/OLB, Arkansas 84. Tennessee Titans: Jerel Worthy, DT, Michigan State 85. Cincinnati Bengals: Bobby Massie, T, Ole Miss 86. Atlanta Falcons: Tyrone Crawford, DE, Boise State 87. Detroit Lions: Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska 88. Pittsburgh Steelers: Amini Silatolu, G, Midwestern State 89. Denver Broncos: Ryan Steed, CB, Furman 90. Houston Texans: Jeff Allen, G/T, Illinois 91. New Orleans Saints: Kyle Wilber, LB, Wake Forest 92. Green Bay Packers: Russell Wilson, QB, Wisconsin 93. Baltimore Ravens: TY Hilton, WR/RS, Florida International 94. San Francisco 49ers: Ben Jones, G/C, Georgia 95. New England Patriots: Malik Jackson, DE, Tennessee 96. New York Giants: Christian Thompson, S, South Carolina State --Follow Jeff on Twitter @JeffRisdon