Seven-time Super Bowl champion QB Tom Brady has retired, but that hasn't stopped talk about a possible return. Brady remains an option in NFL futures markets for the 2022 MVP award.

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Brady led the NFL in passing yards, completions and TD passes in 2021 at the age of 44. His run for an eighth title ring and a repeat Super Bowl fell short in the NFL Divisional Round against the eventual champion Rams.


In their 30-27 loss to the Rams, Brady and the Buccaneers rallied from a 27-3 deficit to tie the game at 27-27 with less than a minute to play.

Brady’s NFL odds to win his fourth MVP award are +4500 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Brady's Odds Shorter Than 17 Other QBs

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The book lists 100 potential MVP candidates. Two-time defending MVP Aaron Rodgers of the Packers (for now) and Patrick Mahomes II of the Chiefs are the co-favorites at +700. Rodgers was named 2021-22 MVP before the Super Bowl.

Rodgers opened last season at +800 on betting apps to win MVP. Brady's numbers made a solid case for his winning the MVP this past season, but a bad 9-0 loss late in the season at home to the Saints all-but-doomed his chances.

Even though Brady walked away from the NFL after 22 seasons, there remains a belief, if not hope, among many inside and outside the game that he may eventually return.

Among those are the NFL betting oddsmakers at Caesars. They've given Brady better MVP odds than 17 other quarterbacks. Among the passers with longer odds than Brady to win the 2022 MVP: Mac Jones, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Tannehill and Jameis Winston.


Brady's Odds To Win NFL MVP In 2022

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Here are the odds for each quarterback listed to win the NFL MVP award at Caesars Sportsbook for the 2022 season:

QB2021-22 TeamOdds
Patrick Mahomes IIChiefs+700
Aaron RodgersPackers+700
Josh AllenBills+900
Joe BurrowBengals+1200
Justin HerbertChargers+1400
Matthew StaffordRams+1500
Derrick HenryTitans+1800
Dak PrescottCowboys+2200
Lamar JacksonRavens+2200
Kyler MurrayCardinals+2500
Russell WilsonSeahawks+3000
Jalen HurtsEagles+4000
Derek CarrRaiders+4000
Tom BradyBuccaneers+4500
Deshaun WatsonTexans+7500
Trey Lance49ers+7500
Kirk CousinsVikings+7500
Trevor LawrenceJaguars+10000
Mac JonesPatriots+10000
Baker MayfieldBrowns+10000
Carson WentzColts+12500
Zach WilsonJets+15000
Daniel JonesGiants+15000
Jameis WinstonSaints+15000
Justin FieldsBears+15000
Ryan TannehillTitans+15000
Jimmy Garoppolo49ers+15000
Sam DarnoldPanthers+15000
Teddy BridgewaterBroncos+15000
Tua TagovailoaDolphins+17500
Jared GoffLions+20000

Odds current as of publication. Check out Caesars Sportsbook for more information on the operator.

Tom Brady Career Betting History

Brady finished his NFL career 221-144-8 all-time against the spread, including the postseason. He covered in 58.1% of his 363 starts, 47 of which occurred in the postseason. Brady won seven of his 10 Super Bowl starts, but finished 5-5 ATS in the Big Game. If you were able to bet $100 on Brady each week of his career using the industry standard -110 ATS odds, you'd be up $4,779.80.

Of the NFL quarterbacks with more than 30 starts who played in the 2021-22 season, Brady ranks 4th all-time ATS, behind Teddy Bridgewater (66.6%), his former backup Jimmy Garoppolo (59.2%) and Josh Allen (59.0%). Brady's 2022 MVP odds are also shorter than both Bridgewater's and Garoppolo's. A former Patriots QB with Brady, Garoppolo led San Francisco to the NFC title game.


What’s Next For Brady?

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Brady has been less-than-convincing when it comes to hanging up his cleats for good.

After issuing multiple retirement announcements and "thank yous," Brady last week said on his "Let's Go!" podcast, “Never say never” when the subject of him playing again was raised by host Jim Gray.

This week, Brady's sentiment appears to have slightly shifted.

“I’m super content and happy with how I feel in my decision. All you can do is take it day by day, nothing’s promised for us. I’m gonna do things I really enjoy and spend time with people that I really enjoy spending time with. So the future is bright," Brady told the SiriusXM audience Monday night.

That means fans and bettors are still free to freak out, and perhaps back the GOAT one more time on betting sites, when his next "workout" video pops up on Instagram. Brady's former teammates appear split on their thoughts about his future. And there's been healthy speculation that Brady wants to eventually end up playing for the San Francisco 49ers, the team closest to his boyhood home and the one he rooted for as a boy.


Brady remains on the Buccaneers active roster. Tampa Bay controls his rights for one more year. The Buccaneers could go with second-year QB Kyle Trask and keep Brady on their inactive or reserve roster if they believe he may return. Or the team can trade his rights if he wants to return elsewhere.