The Denver Broncos have the best odds at winning the 2014 Super Bowl, according to Football Outsiders.

Playing in the weaker AFC, the Broncos have a 28.7 percent change of reaching the Super Bowl and a 16.7 percent chance of winning that game.

The Seattle Seahawks rank second in probability of winning the Super Bowl at 9.8 percent, followed by the New England Patriots at 8.8 percent.

The New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers round out the top-five at 7.7 percent and 7.1 percent.

The San Diego Chargers, Chicago Bears, San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles and Cincinnati Bengals have between a 5.8 percent chance and 4.1 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl.