Authored by Jeff Risdon - 8th January, 2010 - 10:02 am
This edition features the actual draft order, no more subjective projections on teams and slots, save the playoff teams.
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They are slotted according to regular season results at this point. Also, the Jaguars and Bears will flip a coin for #10/#11 (Denver has Chicago's pick) and the same is true of the Panthers/Titans and Falcons/Texans. I flipped those coins and went with the results, but they are subject to change.
Not all underclassmen have declared their intentions yet. Several who have yet to say one way or the other are included here; I'll sort all that out after declaration day passes.
As always, this is what I expect the teams would do with the given picks in the given scenarios. Please do not mistake this for what I would do in the same situation, because it's often quite different.
1. St. Louis Rams: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
Not their most pressing need, but Suh is a once-a-generation talent. A defensive-minded coach like Steve Spagnuolo should demand him and will know how to use his new toy.
2. Detroit Lions: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
In most recent drafts McCoy would be the clear-cut #1 defender. The Lions happily take him as a consolation prize and get the up-front playmaker they sorely need on an improving young defense.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
They already have Derrick Ward and Cadillac Williams, but Spiller has Chris Johnson-esque speed, vision, and versatility. That can dynamically change an offense that often lacked punch. There is a real fear of being the team that passes on "the next Chris Johnson," and if the Bucs don't take him, expect someone to trade up to take him here.
4. Washington Redskins: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
New coach Mike Shanahan will require a new QB to build around, and Clausen has experience in a Shanahan-type offense and playing under intense scrutiny in South Bend.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
Berry is an elite playmaker that can play base safety at a high level and also slide to corner in nickel packages. The Chiefs need both, and Berry's leadership will be an asset too.
6. Seattle Seahawks: Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State
The OL has been neglected for too long, and that's why the Seahawks are picking so high. Okung is ready to start on either side and has the athleticism to handle the speedy 3-4 defenses within the division.
7.Cleveland Browns: Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Haden compares most readily to Darelle Revis, a legit lock-down man cover corner that can tackle in the open field and has a high football IQ. The Browns secondary has been plagued by blown coverages and awful tackling for too long, and Haden can pair with Eric Wright to make a very good CB duo.
8. Oakland Raiders: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
Dunlap fits the Al Davis mold perfectly: athletically freakish, plays with real menace and abandon, has had discipline and consistency issues. They badly need Dunlap?s pass rush presence on the edge.
9. Buffalo Bills: Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
This pick is contingent on my hunch that the Bills will deal for a more proven QB (early guess: Jason Campbell) and not draft one here. Bryant will fill the T.O. (early guess for his landing spot: Tampa Bay) role of field-stretching receiver with good size.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Morgan is a proven producer with a barrage of inside and outside moves, and he's no slouch against the run either. He's a more consistent, smarter talent than incumbent Derrick Harvey.
11. Denver Broncos (from CHI): Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
Thumping between-the-tackles run stuffer with the ability to blitz up the gut. An alpha-male presence from a winning program is precisely what the Broncos need to bolster an old defense that collapsed down the stretch.
12. Miami Dolphins: Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois
Miami's offense screams for a playmaking #1 wideout, and Benn has that sort of size, speed, and attitude. The Dolphins rolled the dice on an Illini player with similar questions in Vontae Davis and were rewarded, and that means something to Bill Parcells.
13. San Francisco 49ers: Trent Williams, T, Oklahoma
Williams slides in value because he's almost certainly "just" a right tackle, but that makes him a perfect fit for the 49ers, who have Joe Staley at LT and a solid center but little else up front.
14. Seattle Seahawks (from DEN): Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
His shoulder injury is a major concern, but his incredible accuracy and underrated athleticism make it worth the risk with this "bonus" pick. Matt Hasselbeck appears done and Seneca Wallace is not the answer.
15. New York Giants: Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida
With Antonio Pierce gone and the defense lacking all sorts of punch and fire, the Giants turn to the fiery, pugnacious Spikes to take over in the middle. He improves the range and speed of the LBs.
16. Tennessee Titans: Mike Iupati, G, Idaho
The Titans go against the grain with the highest-rated guard prospect since Alan Faneca. In terms of draft grades regardless of position, Iupati will be no lower than fifth and represents the best value/return.
17. San Francisco 49ers (from CAR): Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan
Graham is a physical pass rusher who is also accustomed to stuffing the run with little help around him. Playing in front of Patrick Willis will make him even better.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers
Not ideal in terms of being a mauling run blocker, but Davis has the agility and aptitude to get out to the second level. His mirror skills in pass protection are unmatched in this draft class.
19. Atlanta Falcons: Sergio Kindle, LB/DE, Texas
Dynamic athlete whose stock will rise after workouts, he benefits from being the same sort of player in the same role as Brian Orakpo, who just notched 11 sacks as a rookie playing OLB in a 4-3 base and DE on passing downs. Kindle isn't as big but plays meaner.
20. Houston Texans: Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
The Texans want a stronger physical presence in the middle with some ability to make plays in the backfield. That fits Odrick to a "T," though he doesn't always show his "A" game.
21. New York Jets: Ricky Sapp, LB, Clemson
Rex Ryan hopes that the speedy Sapp becomes the player Vernon Gholston evidently never will be: a stand-up edge rusher that can change direction and get off a block.
22. Baltimore Ravens: Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona
The junior missed the 2009 season, but scouts know who he is, often labeling him "the next Todd Heap.". As the Ravens have the original, aging Heap, Gronkowski is a perfect fit.
23. Arizona Cardinals: Charles Brown, T, USC
The Cards would love to upgrade at the tackle position, where they are merely serviceable right now. Brown has great feet and a strong motor that will help the converted TE to learn on the fly.
24. Green Bay Packers: Corey Wootton, DE, Northwestern
He's ideal to play 3-4 DE and his quickness will give the plodding, subpar lines in the NFC North fits. At just 75-80% recovered from knee surgery he was one of the best pass rushers in the country, wait until he's healthy.
25. Cincinnati Bengals: Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU
With the loss of Chris Henry, the Bengals need a big field-stretcher at wideout. LaFell has great body control and knows how to separate at the line, which bode well for breaking the SEC WR cycle of failure.
26. New England Patriots: Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
First off, I don't expect New England to keep this pick; I see them packaging this with a second rounder or two and moving way up. But the idea of Tebow as a unique weapon certainly has appeal for Belichick, and not having to do too much too soon makes New England an ideal landing spot for Tebow while he polishes off his real rough edges as a QB.
27. Philadelphia Eagles: Taylor Mays, S, USC
A physical specimen like Mays is simply too tantalizing to fall much further than this, even if he lacks any sort of instincts in coverage and plays with blinders on (both legit critiques). The Eagles have a history of finding ways to take advantage of guys who do one thing great, and Mays fills the box as well as any safety in a long time.
28. Dallas Cowboys: Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland
Man-mountain LT Flozell Adams is quickly nearing the end, which makes man-mountain Campbell a great fit on the Dallas line. His run blocking made a quantum leap in 09 but it needs another to fully replace Adams. Consider this his floor.
29. Minnesota Vikings: Perrish Cox, CB, Oklahoma State
Scrappy speedster runs a little hot and cold, but he also adds value as a punt returner extraordinaire. He fits their philosophy of most athletically gifted player available at a position of need, if not neediest spot.
30. San Diego Chargers: Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech
With LT either gone or close to it, the Bolts get the inside/out runner they need to attack the underbelly of defenses. A power back pairs nicely with Darren Sproles, and Dwyer runs with great pad level.
31. New Orleans Saints: Jason Pierre Paul, DE, South Florida
A one-year college wonder with outstanding explosiveness and seemingly good awareness, JPP brings juice to a pass rush that needs an infusion of fresh energy.
32. Indianapolis Colts: Vladimir Ducasse, T, Massachusetts
The Tony Ugoh experiment failed, and their lack of tackle depth really hurt down the stretch. Ducasse is almost too tall but has surprisingly powerful athleticism for his height, and could play guard as well.
33. St. Louis Rams: Greg Jones, LB, Michigan State
34. Detroit Lions: Jon Asamoah, G, Illinois
35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Brian Price, DT, UCLA
36. Washington Redskins: Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa
37. Kansas City Chiefs: Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame
38. Cleveland Browns: O?Brien Schofield, LB, Wisconsin
39. Oakland Raiders: Tony Pike, QB, Cincinnati
40. Seattle Seahawks: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State
41. Buffalo Bills: Navorro Bowman, LB, Penn State
42. Tampa Bay Bucs (from Chicago): Everson Griffen, DE, USC
43. Miami Dolphins: Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
44. New England Patriots (from JAX): Jahvid Best, RB, California
45. Denver Broncos: Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
46. New York Giants: Javier Arenas, CB, Alabama
47. New England Patriots (from TEN): D?Anthony Smith, DT, Louisiana Tech
48. Carolina Panthers: Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama
49. San Francisco 49ers: Deandre McDaniel, S, Clemson
50. Kansas City Chiefs (from ATL): Jermaine Cunningham, LB, Florida
51. Houston Texans: Chad Jones, S, LSU
52. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ben Tate, RB, Auburn
53. Baltimore Ravens: Syd?Quan Thompson, CB, California
54. New York Jets: Eric Decker, WR, Minnesota
55. Arizona Cardinals: Colt McCoy, QB, Texas
56. Green Bay Packers: Greg Romeus, DE, Pittsburgh
57. New England Patriots: Ed Dickson, TE, Oregon
58. Cincinnati Bengals: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
59. Dallas Cowboys: Eric Norwood, LB, South Carolina
60. Philadelphia Eagles: Jared Veldheer, T, Hillsdale
61. Minnesota Vikings: Tony Moeaki, TE, Iowa
62. San Diego Chargers: Daryl Washington, LB, TCU
63. New Orleans Saints: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
64. Indianapolis Colts: Sean Lee, LB, Penn State
65. St. Louis Rams: Anthony Dixon, RB, Mississippi State
66. Detroit Lions: Devin Ross, CB, Arizona
67. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jeremy Williams, WR, Tulane
68. Kansas City Chiefs: Kyle Calloway, T, Iowa
69. Washington Redskins--used pick in supplemental draft
70. Oakland Raiders: Roddrick Muckelroy, LB, Texas
71. Philadelphia Eagles (from SEA): J.D. Walton, C, Baylor
72. Cleveland Browns: Jordan Shipley, WR, Texas
73. Buffalo Bills: Ciron Black, T, LSU
74. Miami Dolphins: Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M
75. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mardy Gilyard, WR/KR, Cincinnati
76. Chicago Bears: Jason Fox, T, Miami
77. New York Giants: Rennie Curran, LB, Georgia
78. Tennessee Titans: Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan
79. Carolina Panthers: Danario Alexander, WR, Missouri
80. San Francisco 49ers: Dezmon Briscoe, WR, Kansas
81. Denver Broncos: Antonio Coleman, OLB, Auburn
82. Houston Texans: Jerome Murphy, CB, South Florida
83. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jerry Hughes, DE/OLB, TCU
84. Atlanta Falcons: Mike Johnson, OL, Alabama
85. Cleveland Browns (from NYJ): Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford
86. Baltimore Ravens: Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech
87. Arizona Cardinals: Greg Hardy, DE, Ole Miss
88. Green Bay Packers: Alterruan Verner, CB, UCLA
89. Cincinnati Bengals: Dekoda Watson, LB, Florida State
90. Oakland Raiders (from NE): Myron Lewis, CB, Vanderbilt
91. Philadelphia Eagles: Evan Royster, RB, Penn State
92. Dallas Cowboys: Jacoby Ford, WR, Clemson
93. Minnesota Vikings: Philip Dillard, LB, Nebraska
94. San Diego Chargers: John Jerry, G, Ole Miss
95. New Orleans Saints: Jamar Chaney, LB, Mississippi State
96. Indianapolis Colts: Kam Chancellor, S, Virginia Tech
97. St. Louis Rams: Selvish Capers, T, West Virginia
98. Detroit Lions: Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, CB, Indiana PA
99. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Gabe Carimi, T, Wisconsin
100. Kansas City Chiefs: Montario Hardesty, RB, Tennessee
101. Washington Redskins: Dexter McCluster, RB, Ole Miss
102. Seattle Seahawks: Crezdon Butler, CB, Clemson
103. Cleveland Browns: Mitch Petrus, G, Arkansas
104. Oakland Raiders: Austen Lane, DE, Murray State
105. Buffalo Bills: Dan Lefevour, QB, Central Michigan
106. Jacksonville Jaguars: Larry Asante, S, Nebraska
107. Chicago Bears: Tyson Alualu, DT, California
108. Miami Dolphins: Lindsey Witten, DE, Connecticut
109. Tennessee Titans: Rafael Priest, CB, TCU
110. Carolina Panthers: Taylor Price, WR, Ohio
111. San Francisco 49ers: Koa Misi, OLB, Utah
112. Denver Broncos: George Selvie, DE, South Florida
113. New York Giants: Matt Tenant, C, Boston College
114. Pittsburgh Steelers: Colin Peek, TE, Alabama
115. Atlanta Falcons: Jeff Owens, DT, Georgia
116. Houston Texans: Shay Hodge, WR, Ole Miss
117. New York Jets: Reggie Stephens, G, Iowa State
118. Baltimore Ravens: Alex Carrington, DT, Arkansas State
119. Arizona Cardinals: Andre Roberts, WR, Citadel
120. Green Bay Packers: Barry Church, S, Toledo
121. Cincinnati Bengals: Demarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma
122. New England Patriots: Brandon Carter, G, Texas Tech
123. Philadelphia Eagles: Geno Atkins, DT, Georgia
124. Dallas Cowboys: Micah Johnson, LB, Kentucky
125. Minnesota Vikings: Brian Jackson, CB, Oklahoma
126. San Diego Chargers: Hall Davis, DT, Louisiana-Lafayette
127. New Orleans Saints: James Starks, RB, Buffalo
128. Indianapolis Colts: Arthur Moats, LB, James Madison