By Jeff Risdon
I’m not a big fan of issuing draft grades right after the fact. And with so much negativity floating around, I opted to stay on the positive side of the coin.
Here are my favorite draft selections for each team.
Logan Thomas, QB, Virginia Tech--the fourth round pick (#120 overall) wound up in the best possible situation for his NFL potential. He’s got better athletic potential and a better arm than #3 overall pick Blake Bortles, and there are times (the Miami game comes to mind) where Thomas looks like a legit NFL star. Not starter, star.
He was often really, really bad too, and that’s why many groaned when the Cardinals took Thomas in the fourth round. But Bruce Arians uses an offensive system that plays to his downfield strengths, and there’s no pressure to rush his progress. Give him two years of advanced coaching and encouragement, and the Cardinals just might have themselves a franchise quarterback. The reward is worth the risk here.
Jake Matthews, T, Texas A&M--This was a toughie, as they made some very good value picks and fits. Yet Matthews was my No. 1 player in the entire draft, and the Falcons landed him with the sixth overall selection. He’s instantly the best starter on what has been a problematic line for the last couple of years. He’ll be protecting Matt Ryan and clearing holes for another pick I really liked, 4th round RB Devonta Freeman. Matthews is a can’t-miss prospect for a team that desperately needed one.
Crockett Gillmore, TE, Colorado State--Gillmore is a player I really grew to like after seeing him in person at Shrine Game week and Senior Bowl week. He didn’t have a lot to do at CSU, but in those two weeks I saw a sure-handed receiver who could use his big frame to get separation and reach out to pluck the ball from the air. He’s a solid in-line blocker and he can chip and release nicely. Gillmore projects as a very good second tight end, something the team needed. They could have done a lot worse with the 99th pick.
Preston Brown, LB, Louisville--I do really like adding Sammy Watkins to the mix, but I’m not sure they had to give up as much as they did to get him. Brown, on the other hand, is a strong value in the third round. He should be able to line up inside or outside. When I watched Louisville film to break down Eagles 1st round pick Marcus Smith, all I saw was Brown making plays all over the field. He and Kiko Alonso make a very nice young LB tandem for a team that should be on the rise.
Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State--The giant wideout was the epicenter of some very divisive opinions in the scouting community. I happen to value his athletic gifts, and think his detractors ignored a lot of very strong plays he made under pressure for a championship team. He landed in the perfect spot; Cam Newton has the same style as Jameis Winston and Benjamin will get every chance to shine, and he wasn’t a reach in the late first round. Benjamin is my too-early projection for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Having said that, it also wouldn’t be a surprise if he washed out a la James Hardy either.
Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech--The Bears absolutely had to upgrade the defense. I like all of their first three picks; Ego Ferguson and Will Sutton are both limited role players, but the Bears sorely needed those roles filled. Fuller has a chance to be a very good cornerback, and he fits schematically. I also like that they didn’t reach to fill the gaping hole at safety, sticking to their board with the higher-end player. The Bears had one of the best drafts of 2014.
Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State--Cincinnati landed my 16th-rated player overall and top CB on my board with the 24th pick. Aside from the value they got, Dennard’s aggressive style fits well both within the context of their defense (assuming they keep a similar scheme with the change in coordinator) and in the AFC North. Jeremy Hill could wind up being a very good power RB for them, too, though I think he went too high.
Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M--I wrote earlier about my mixed feelings on their tumultuous first round. The more I look at the reaction to Manziel and how he’s reinvigorated my hometown, the more I support the decision. He’s a unique player that represents a stark contrast to the “same old Browns”. Johnny Football is the face of the franchise and seems quite capable of handling that pressure. I would not bet against him.
Ahmad Dixon, S, Baylor--This one is all about relative value. They badly needed a safety, and Dixon could have gone at least two rounds earlier. He’s stiff in coverage and tested poorly in workouts, but he’s still immediately the second-best safety on the Cowboys roster. They got him with the 248th overall pick deep in the 7th round. I do like Demarcus Lawrence’s potential as an edge rusher, too.
Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State--Roby is the top choice with a condition: the Broncos have to get the 2012 version and not the 2013 one. He’s got very similar skills and upside to Joe Haden, who just signed a monster contract extension with the Browns. The Broncos filled their top need with the best value on the board at that spot. It’s risky but should pay off.
Kyle Van Noy, LB, BYU--The Lions aggressively pursued the versatile Van Noy, trading up a few spots in the second round to reunite him with his former Cougars roommate, Ezekiel Ansah. He is a perfect fit for the new defensive scheme, which will play more 3-LB sets and blitzes. His biggest weakness--sifting through traffic--is mitigated by the Lions’ strong defensive line in front him. Van Noy could be very, very good right away.
Green Bay Packers
Khyri Thornton, DT, Southern Miss--Third-round pick Thornton is an odd fit on the surface. He’s a one-gap upfield penetrator who doesn’t tie up blockers well despite being a large man, and that tends to fit better in a 4-3 defense than Green Bay’s variable 3-4 front. Yet I love his energy and the reckless edge he brings. He’s a poor man’s Nick Fairley without the baggage, both off-field and in the midsection. Thornton is an agitating instigator of a defensive lineman, something this defense badly needed. I really like Davante Adams in the second round too, though he’s not apt to contribute much as a rookie.
Jadeveon Clowney, Edge, South Carolina--Houston had to be tempted by a quarterback, but they smartly held off and added the defensive prospect with the highest talent ceiling to hit the draft in the last 25 years. He’s not a sure thing, but passing on Clowney could have been as disastrous as passing on Dwayne Wade or Carmelo Anthony for Darko Milicic. Clowney could be the LeBron James of the NFL. Could be. You have to take that gamble with the #1 overall pick.
Donte Moncrief, WR, Ole Miss--I’m not going to lie here: I have major reservations about what GM Ryan Grigson has done in the last 15 months, and this draft did not help his cause. Moncrief is a great value with the 90th overall pick, but he carries some risk. While he’s a dynamic athlete who looked like a first-round talent at times, he also has a lot of disturbingly lethargic and disinterested games too. A team with limited draft resources probably should have opted for a safer route, though if Moncrief is a hit, he’ll be a big hit. I’m optimistic he will.
Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State--The Jaguars took two wideouts in the second round, and I love both picks. Marqise Lee went earlier, and the USC receiver has a chance to be special if his knee gets healthy. Robinson came later in the round (61st overall) and should prove more than worthy of the trade up to nab him. His size and leaping ability nicely compensate for a lack of top-end speed, which Lee brings. I love that they got two receivers who complement one another so well. Now about that massive reach for a quarterback in the first round…
Kansas City Chiefs
Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, T, McGill--The 200th pick of the draft was a complete mystery to many, but for those of us who saw “Larry” in person at the Shrine Game practices, we know how good the giant Canuck can be. He was every bit as dominant in St. Pete as Terron Armstead, the 75th pick in 2013, was a year earlier. He’s light on his feet but very tough and strong. Once he learns the American game (Canada has different rules on the line), he can be an above-average starting left tackle. The Chiefs got him in the 6th round. I also like guard Zach Fulton from Tennessee, their other sixth rounder. KC could very well have landed two starters in that round.
Jordan Tripp, LB, Montana--The Dolphins had an interesting draft. I like a lot of their players, but they almost universally went about 15-20 picks higher than I liked. Not so with Tripp, whom I graded a solid 3rd round talent. They got him in the 5th, and he’s got a chance to be a solid starter if he can add some functional strength. Billy Turner in the third could wind up being better than first-rounder Ja’Wuan James, and I say that as someone who liked James too.
Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville--Absolute jackpot pick. GM Rick Spielman was patient in watching Bridgewater fall, and then he pounced on the best quarterback in this draft by trading up into the 32nd pick. The best part is they don’t have to rush him onto the field if he isn’t quite ready, though I suspect he’ll be starting for Minnesota by Halloween and will be for a very long time. I like the Anthony Barr pick at 9, too, especially since they pilfered an extra fifth rounder from Cleveland and still got him. That’s good, because none of their Saturday picks might make the final 53-man roster.
New England Patriots
Jemea Thomas, DB, Georgia Tech--With their third 6th round pick, and I like all three of them, the Patriots scored with the versatile Thomas. He can play the nickel corner over the slot, but he also plays big enough to handle safety duties. He’s small and that limits his upside, but Jemea Thomas is a smart, quick-twitch football player. Guard Jon Halapio from Florida, the first of their 6th rounders, will start sooner than later too.
New Orleans Saints
Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State--Not only did the Saints get their replacement for Lance Moore, they just might have gotten their new #1 wideout. Cooks is smallish but freakishly quick, and he catches the ball effortlessly. He answered the speed questions, as silly as they seem in watching lots of Beavers tape, by running a 4.33 at the Combine. He should prove worthy of the move up to the 20th overall pick; he was not going to fall to 27th. The NFC South isn’t exactly crawling with defensive back talent, so he could be very good very soon.
New York Giants
Weston Richburg, C, Colorado State--I freely admit to a major bias here. Richburg was my favorite player in this entire draft, my prospect man crush. I even told him so when talking to him during Senior Bowl week, and he accepted it graciously. He’s a smart tactician who can play guard or center, and he adjusts on the fly to opponents as well as any center in the NFL right now. He helps fill one of the gaping holes along their lines. Side note: he was a high school teammate of Baltimore’s above entry, Crockett Gillmore.
New York Jets
Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech--Their second-round pick was rated much higher on my board than their first-rounder, safety Calvin Pryor. Amaro is a monster of a target on crossing and out routes, and he can lay out unsuspecting defenders as a blocker. You can pencil him in for 65-75 catches for 850-950 yards and 5-8 TDs every year. Fourth-round guard Dakota Dozier is a promising project, though he probably won’t contribute much as a rookie. Shaq Evans was a solid pick too.
Khalil Mack, LB, Buffalo--Their first four picks could all realistically emerge as quality starters by the middle of 2015, but only Mack has the potential to be great. No matter what they ask him to do--blitz, cover, play end, stuff the A-gap--Mack can do it all very well. Hopefully they unleash him quickly instead of playing it safe. I am a Derek Carr supporter, too.
Taylor Hart, DE, Oregon--The first pick of the fifth round could very well end up being a much better player than the man they took 26th overall, Marcus Smith. Hart is a smart, aggressive, strong end who disengages and chases very well for a 280-pound guy. Coach Chip Kelly knows what he’s got in him. I really like adding his Duck teammate, WR Josh Huff, in the third round too.
Jordan Zumwalt, LB, UCLA--He’s not a great player, but Zumwalt is a consummate Steeler. His throwback style and almost scary toughness scream Pittsburgh. I expected him to be a 4th round pick, but he slid to the sixth. He is the ying to first-round pick Ryan Shazier’s yang. I happen to like Shazier’s fit here too, as the Steelers are finally acknowledging their egregious lack of range in the back end of their defense. Wesley Johnson was a strong pick, too.
San Diego Chargers
Jason Verrett, CB, TCU--This is another great pick with a condition. Verrett is an outstanding, sticky man-coverage corner, but he’s got serious durability questions between his small frame and balls-out style. His fight/size of dog ratio is off the charts. As long as he stays healthy, the Chargers got themselves a very useful player they desperately lacked with their first round pick.
San Francisco 49ers
Marcus Martin, C, USC--I did an in-depth scouting report on Martin, which you can read here. He was a very fun player to study. Martin has some warts, namely a lack of strength and a bizarre lack of second-level vision, but everything wrong with him can be fixed with experience and good coaching. He could be the best guard from this draft class too, though I think he should stick to center. Good developmental pick in the third round for a team that didn’t have any pressing needs to address. Though I don’t issue draft grades, the Niners still earned no worse than an A-minus.
Kevin Norwood, WR, Alabama--The second of their three 4th round picks could very well be the only player the Seahawks picked who makes their active roster in 2014. While he lacks second-rounder Paul Richardson’s blazing jets, Norwood does every single other thing a receiver needs to do, including catch the ball, better that the one-dimensional Colorado Buffalo. Fourth-round LB Kevin Pierre-Louis has great athleticism that Pete Carroll can work with, though he’s smaller and weaker than some safeties.
St. Louis Rams
Greg Robinson, T, Auburn--This was not a no-brainer of a #2 overall pick, and I rated Jake Matthews higher, but Robinson was a smart choice and a better fit for the Rams. Coach Jeff Fisher cherishes his combativeness and truly devastating power, even if he will have some pass protection struggles. I really like 6th round corner E.J. Gaines, who completely erased #7 overall pick Mike Evans from the field at Missouri.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington--The big tight end will make for a fantastic red zone target, and at his pro day he proved his athleticism came back after being asked to bulk up in 2013. ASJ is a great weapon at a position of dire need for the Bucs. First-rounder Mike Evans should wind up being a very good wide receiver, but I worry they’re going to ask him to do too much too soon.
Bishop Sankey, RB, Washington--Sankey is a great fit for the Titans, a very quick, efficient slasher with great hands out of the backfield. He should reliably move the chains. I like the concept of him running behind first-rounder Taylor Lewan, though they took the Michigan tackle a few spots higher than I preferred. Third round DT DaQuan Jones was a nice pick.
Washington Football Team
Zack Hocker, K, Arkansas--This probably comes off as a dis on the earlier picks, but I really do like their 7th round placekicker. He’s got a booming leg and should be a mainstay in Washington for years. Fourth-round corner Bashaud Breeland has major talent but fell because of some off-field concerns and spotty reliability. Third-rounder Morgan Moses has some tools. Did I mention how much I like Hocker?
Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, New York Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Washington Redskins, Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, IQ
By Ron Marmalefsky
First impressions are not always the best impressions. That being said, no NFL draft would be complete without them. Most of us who study the draft have put in hundreds of hours of study over the past several months. We just can’t let this three day extravaganza go without speaking our minds.
Grading drafts before players ever play one down in the NFL is an inexact science. It can also be quite controversial. My own board is bound to be different from others, and players some of us like, others will not like. Some of the things I look for include the following: Did a team address most, if not all of their primary needs? Did a team leave higher rated talent on the board at the time they drafted? Did a team draft lower rated players at the position they drafted? Did a team get value with their pick, both early in the draft as well as on days two and three?
No grades will be presented here. That will be done later on once I have had more time to digest what happened these past three days. What follows is a brief summary for each team. How did each team manage their draft board and take advantage of the opportunities presented to them?
Please feel free to agree or disagree. I am more than happy to answer any and all questions. You can leave comments below or reach me on twitter @ronacesports, or via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org. Without further ado, here are my first impressions as I wrap up work on my 36th NFL draft!
Arizona Cardinals: I was worried about how Arizona was going to address needs along the offensive line. Carson Palmer has a quick release, masking some limitations up front. Arizona did not add anyone in this draft. I like the productive Bucannon and had him with a high 2nd round grade. Kareen Martin fills a need and so does John Brown as a #3 WR. I was hoping Arizona would draft a young QB, but Logan Thomas did not make my list of rated QB’s. Overall I was not impressed with how Arizona worked the draft board. Bucannon could be a special talent, but Niklas, Martin and Brown do not look like upper echelon players.
Atlanta Falcons: No team could have used Jadeveon Clowney more than Atlanta but the price to move up was too steep. Drafting OT Matthews is about as good, enabling Sam Baker to move from LT to RT. DE Hageman will help jump start a bottom five pass rush, but why stop with just one pass rusher? In my draft needs article I listed impact LB. Atlanta did not select a LB until pick 139 but finished with four LB’s in this draft! I gave safety Southward a 4th round grade and he was taken at pick 68, about 40-50 choices too high. Safety was a top five need and so was RB, and the Falcons did well do get the (lower) rated Southward and RB Freeman. I’d have gone pass rusher in rounds two and three before coming back to safety and RB. Because Shembo is a risk, and Allen and Sprull are much lower rated I would have added another OL and drafted two different LB’s.
Carolina Panthers: It’s hard to find a double digit win team with more critical roster holes than these Panthers. Every WR who caught a pass for them is gone. Stud OT Jordan Gross retired and two other OL left via free agency. The secondary has no standout talent. Many are knocking the pick for WR Benjamin but I believe my 9th rated WR fits nicely here as Cam Newton is more of a high ball thrower and Benjamin has the height to make a difference. I like DE Ealy’s pass rush potential but I can’t endorse the pick over CB or OL. OG Trai Turner should have stayed in school. In this case I like the focus but not the value. The same can be said for DB’s Boston and Benwikere. Boston was grossly overdrafted and Benwikere was listed as a 6th round nickel CB on my draft board. I’d keep Benjamin (although I’d have preferred Lee or Matthews) and RB Gaffney but would change the rest of their picks. In the end there would be two CB’s, two OL, two WR’s and RB Gaffney.
Chicago Bears: Chicago probably coveted DL Donald but he went to the Rams right before their pick. I like what they did in taking CB Fuller at 14. Four of their 1st five picks were for their defense. I like the focus with DL at 51 even though I had LSU’s Ferguson in the 3rd round range. DL Will Sutton had a down year in ’13 but his ceiling is far above his drafted position of 82. Chicago needed a short yardage RB and Carey could fit that role. Adding another DB works as well. This is the 2nd straight year the Bears have got it right on draft day, breaking a run of bottom five drafts. Even the move for my #2 punter was solid.
Dallas Cowboys: Dallas played it safe in this draft, going OL early and for the most part sticking to filling holes at the less glamorous positions on the field. OG/OT Martin made sense but trading up for Lawrence represented poor value. I keep picks 47/78 and use them to fill holes with a DL and a CB. DL Murphy, Crichton or Jernigan could have been the pick at 47 and safety Brooks at 78. As for trade value, many teams, including Dallas should have considered a small trade up in the 4th round for CB Desir. My top two areas of need for the Cowboys were DL and DB, which they did address a total of five times. I like the picks for Martin and WR Street, who made my top 15 list but I’d have liked to see Dallas be more aggressive in filling their primary needs.
Detroit Lions: The good news is that these Lions chose all rated players in the draft. Ebron can be a force down the seam. Van Noy is a playmaker. Lawson, rated in my top 15 CB list, immediately challenges for playing time in a secondary crying for help. Reid and Webster were drafted at appropriate spots. Freese was a need, and a correct scoop on my part to this team. The problem with this draft is that CB, OL and safety are my top three needs, and once again GM Mayhew has failed to understand the correlation between impact secondary play and making the playoffs. Mayhew has been at a high level with the Lions for over 14 years. During this time the Lions have drafted just 15 DB’s (yes, CB’s and safeties), most of them below the second round. According to one source, the best of the bunch was Louis Delmas, and he just left the team. The Lions have had one winning season since 2000. I compiled a full article one this subject a short time ago. I can’t completely dish this draft since at least three starters should come from it, but until Mayhew and the Lions draft impact players for their secondary they will be vulnerable to losing late leads, as has happened way too often just in the past two seasons.
Green Bay Packers: Safety, TE and a pair of WR’s represented my top three needs and the Packers didn’t disappoint. Dix represented value and need in the 1st round. Adams rated 10th on my WR board but remember this position was loaded. He carried a grade in the 35-40 range and was drafted at 53. Last year I blasted GB on its WR selections. This year they got great value, with Abbrederis and Janis in my top 16. Remember, Cobb and Nelson are in their contract years. I thought DE Thornton was overdrafted and better choices could have been made at OL and late for DB but overall I like what the Packers did in this draft.
Minnesoat Vikings: I have to admit that upon first inspection the Minnesota draft might be the most difficult to evaluate. Was LB Barr the right choice over DL Donald or even OT Lewan? Will Teddy Bridgewater overcome his historic Pro Day faux pas? Why draft the talented Jerick McKinnon at RB when that position is occupied by AP? In the end I’m going to trust the highly respected Mike Zimmer on Barr, and there’s no question about his upside. In addition to Bridgewater, Minnesota also got solid draft value with DE Crichton at 72, OG Yankey at 145 and if healthy, the versatile Exum at 182. I’d have doubled up at OL and changed pick 96 to OL Brandon Thomas or Dozier, or to CB Desir. Even if Bridgewater let’s some of us down there’s enough value in this draft to get excited about, and that includes NT Stephen in the 7th round.
New Orleans Saints: It turns out the Saints were serious about drafting well-spoken WR Cooks, trading ahead of Philly and KC to get him. He reportedly wowed the Saints in their interview, and the WR who loses no speed at all when he makes his cuts was considered the top interview by as many as ten NFL teams. Payton will find ways to get him in space. Unfortunately, the rest of the draft does nothing for me. I gave CB Baptiste a 4th round grade and am not as high on him as many analysts. He lacks physicality and the learning curve is steep. Fortt and Powell match a need, but I see them as rotational players at best. OT Rooks was not one of the 550 players I even studied! Safety Sunseri is coming off a serious injury but he’s the only drafted player outside of Cooks that holds some value. I’m comfortable keeping the focus of the Saints but I’d change four of six picks.
New York Giants: The NYG made an unusually high number of moves during free agency, determined to erase memories of an 0-6 start in 2013 in a season where they committed too many mistakes (turnovers and otherwise). Likely coveting OT Lewan, the NYG decided against drafting OL Martin or DL Donald and instead went for versatile WR Beckham. Clearly Beckham has 1st round talent but in this deep WR draft I’d have gone in a completely different direction, fixing longstanding LB needs with Mosley. I like OC Richburg but 43 is too rich for me. I get a WR or sack specialist here and easily double up on WR’s later. I like the pick of RB Andre Williams who fits this team and scheme perfectly. DL Bromley was overdrafted at pick 74 even though his blue collar approach is typical NYG. The later picks for LB and DB are “acceptable” but where is the TE in this draft?
Philadelphia Eagles: Chip Kelly’s initial draft was passive as he learned the ropes of wheeling and dealing. His second draft was typical Chip! I gave out information leaking Marcus Smith to the Eagles, but in round two or three, and not in the 1st round. Like a record number of teams in this deep draft class the Eagles drafted mostly rated players from my draft board, with only DT Allen (224) unrated. Philly targeted six players early and all were off the board including WR Cooks and at least one of the top two safeties. WR and DB were my top areas of need. I thought former Oregon WR Huff was drafted a bit too early but DB Watkins and safety Reynolds were strong choices. DE Hart adds rotational value. LB was need area #4 and obviously Smith fits. In the end, WR Matthews might be my favorite player in the entire draft. I fixated on him in 2013 and his opening game vs. Ole Miss solidified what would ultimately become a top five WR grade. Philly’s roster improved as a result of this draft class.
St. Louis Rams: The Rams did well early but I differ with the way they targeted secondary needs and I felt they reached with most of their final six selections. Donald is a stud but for me this was the time to fix the secondary with Dix or Pryor. They did draft three DB’s and to be honest I do have a high grade on Joyner but he is on the small side. I’m also disappointed that they did not address OLB, finding a better ‘cover” LB than current starter Dunbar. I like the pick of RB Mason. Four of their final five selections were unrated by me, including QB Gilbert. I’d have drafted two OL better DB’s and two LB’s. I have a (lower) rated grade on Michael Sam, but the situational sacker will find it hard to crack this loaded sack happy roster. The top four selections continue Fisher’s attempt to rebrand the Rams but I wish they would have done more with the rest of their picks.
San Francisco 49ers: In the past I criticized the 49ers for wasting picks on unrated players but this year I felt better about what they did. I’m surprised SF did not try to trade up for a CB, especially when Dennard was dropping, but I’m told that Fuller was their initial target and after he went the price to trade up was too high. CB was my #1 need and SF failed in this regard, drafting a pair of late, unrated CB’s. Of course Ward is versatile and may be tried at CB. All other needs were more than adequately filled. RB Hyde will eventually take over for Gore and fits this scheme. OC Martin is a direct hit on a need. ILB Borland is a smart two-down LB. OG Thomas will redshirt off his unfortunate Pro Day injury but carried a late 2nd round grade if 100% and the 49ers can easily afford to wait on him to recover. I know DE Lynch disappointed at USF but he flashes talent and is worth the risk at 150. WR needs were more than fully addressed with the trade for Stevie Johnson and the pickup of route savvy Ellington. I’d have doubled up on pass rushing talent and found a pure CB in this draft but clearly SF added talent.
Seattle Seahawks: Seattle does things their own way. They like drafting in quantity which is a good thing because I count about 13 unrated selections from the past three drafts. They have found late round gems, but those players were not surprises to me. I list only two contributors from the 13 unrated players, a converted DL and the unheralded DB star of the Super Bowl. So with that backdrop, I really dislike this draft! Players 1-5 are rated, but Richardson (45) Britt (64) and Marsh (108) all carried 4th round grades, and Pierre-Lewis (132) a late 6th round grade. Only WR Norwood (123) was properly drafted. Their final four picks did not receive draft worthy grades from me, although I will revisit OG Scott before finalizing his grade. I see 5-6 players making the team and the two WR’s playing and contributing to some extent but once again much more could have been done.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Lovie Smith is known as having a defensive slant but the Bucs were all about offense in this draft with all six selections for this side of the ball. WR Mike Evans has flaws but might thrive in this system, especially with a pair of high ball throwers on the roster. TE Seferian-Jenkins might also carry immediate impact. RB Sims is the premier 3rd down back of the draft. I like the focus on drafting two OL but I’m not high on the players selected. Don’t sleep on fast, but inconsistent WR Herron, whose rating is solidly in my top 20. I’d have taken higher rated OL and found a way to draft an OLB and a late safety but Tampa, through the draft and free agency has an improving roster.
Washington Redskins: Mike Shanahan knew how to spot RB talent but the rest of his drafts yielded some far below average talent. That is why most analysts felt OL and DB were areas of need despite Washington using a plethora of recent draft picks for these areas. I don’t feel Washington got value with any pick in this draft other than when they drafted yet another RB (Seastrunk), but LB Murphy, OT Moses and CB Breeland were all slotted about right. I have OG Long as a 6th round (at best) talent and he was overdrafted at 78. WR Grant was rated but not needed for this team. I would have drafted a higher rated OL along with at least one DL and ILB. Washington did not draft at either position. This was an average draft class.
Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Washington Redskins, IQ
By Ron Marmalefsky
- This was indeed a deep draft, with more prospects than ever evaluated as worthy of being drafted. Because of this, I expected most teams to have a great 1st round.
- My draft board had 42 prospects worthy of 1st round grades. Compare that to a year ago when only 19 prospects carried a 1st round grade.
- Deep draft or not it was unpredictable at times. No one expected Blake Bortles to be drafted so quickly. Tennessee took the OT the Giants' coveted. The NYG took the WR that several teams were targeting. The Rams took Chicago’s DT (Donald). Chicago may have taken Pittsburgh’s CB (Fuller). That was the theme in the middle of the draft. Safe moves? Cincinnati and San Diego going back to back with CB’s. Baltimore going with LB Mosley.
- Best value pick? Green Bay getting Clinton-Dix at 21.
26 of my 42 players with 1st round grades were drafted on day one. The six with lower grades were LB Shazier (but I expected him to go in the 20’s), OT James (Miami had to go OT), DE Ford (another I expected in this round as pass rushers are valued), LB Marcus Smith (for Chip Kelly, speed kills, but I had him at the top of the 3rd round), safety Bucannon (very good player) and DT Easley (2nd round grade due to multiple ACL injuries).
- Biggest surprises? Bortles early, the Rams going Donald and not DB, Pittsburgh and others letting CB Dennard slip, KC missing badly on value and need, Philly taking LB Smith too early (actually not a surprise if you read my Intel report).
- Additional surprises: The Rams staying put. Dallas staying put. Arizona making a rare trade. San Francisco not moving up.
- Nine OL were drafted in ’13. Only five heard their name called in ’14, and none after pick #19.
- What was Buffalo thinking? They went from 9 to 4, but gave up 1st and 4th round picks in ’15. That’s a steep price.
- Person-team fits: CB Fuller fits the Bears. LB Mosley fits Baltimore. WR Cooks did not fit the Jets. Why do I adjust some grades after the draft? Because Cooks fits the Saints, and his coach will use him well. Great fit. The CB’s in Cincy and San Diego.
Finally, Teddy Bridgewater. He can succeed with the Vikings, and while it is not the fit of the century (that was Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh and Kaepernick in SF, both predicted in advance), I’m rooting for it to work.
- Ah, Detroit! Everyone said CB. I could not. TE Ebron will be productive, but once again we wait on CB talent.
- Each year in this spot I list players who will be high targets for the next round. This is such a deep draft that I could list 50 names here! Here’s a really short list: QB Carr, RB Hyde, WR Lee, TE Sefarian-Jenkins, OT Bitonio, OG Su’a-Filo, DT’s Tuitt and Ealy (may slip), DT’s Nix, Jernigan and Hageman, LB Van Noy (could slip).
- Here are some additional players that I want to see drafted in the 2nd round: WR’s Matthews, Robinson and Adams, TE Amaro, OT Kouandijo, safety Brooks.
- If you follow quarterbacks, here is my take on the next batch: Carr will go next. I hope he goes to a team that can protect him well. Murray will go in the 3rd or 4th round. I like him a lot if he gets to the right team. McCarron should not be taken in the 2nd round. Don’t be surprised if his NFL career is filled with more turnovers that he had at Alabama. Garoppolo should be a day two pick. Mettenberger’s back concerns caused him to fall. Having some off the field issues makes it difficult to risk a high draft pick on him. I’d prefer him in the 3rd round but I think he could go a bit sooner. Will Tom Savage or Logan Thomas be a day two selection? Savage belongs in the 4th round but some team will try to coach him up. I would not draft Logan Thomas as a QB. He has been rumored to be a 3rd round pick. That would be a mistake.
- Round two positional runs will include WR, DL, and OL. I expect at least six WR’s in this round. Only five DL heard their names called Thursday. That’s an unusually low number so I expect a spike up on Friday. Like I said above, the OL run ended early at pick 19. Get ready for an OL run on Friday.
Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, New York Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Washington Redskins, Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, IQ
Great first rounds for the Rams, the NFC North as a whole, Bengals and Chargers, while the Eagles and Patriots received thumbs down, while Cleveland had the most intriguing night.
The two extra weeks of NFL Draft season have led to way too much smoke and speculation. It's one of the most confusing drafts ever, with beat writers for the same teams often wildly differing in their own projections and information.
Breaking down the draft needs, tendencies, draft history, round 1/entire draft priorities for all 32 teams.
The schedule of an NFL team is critical in predicting how they will manage the ups and downs of a season. Here is a team-by-team breakdown.
It's up to the new regime to draft better players around Robert Griffin and design a scheme that maximizes his talent. Anything is possible in the wild NFC East, but it's clearly time for Washington to do a far better job in talent evaluation.
For one time every draft season, we do a different kind of mock draft. Instead of trying to forecast what players are going to what teams at what picks, this one is all about personal preference.