Draft week is finally here! All of the months of speculation, smokescreens and hyperbole concludes this Thursday thru Saturday at Grant Park in Chicago with the 2016 NFL Draft.
I’ll be at the draft on Saturday, enjoying the crowd of some 150,000 in Draft Town with my son. Thursday I’ll be broadcasting live on ESPN 96.1 in Grand Rapids from 3-7 from Peppino’s in downtown Grand Rapids. If you’re anywhere near the 616, please stop out and join in the festivities. Friday I’ll be in the co-host chair from 3-6, so tune in or stream it on your iHeart app.
Enough of the shameless self-promotion. Here is my guess at how the draft plays out. I included some trades in the first round, but I did not adjust the corollary picks later on because it’s all pure conjecture and it just gets too complicated. Be aware that after about pick 50 it’s much more about trying to slot the player than marrying a player to a team.
1. Los Angeles Rams: Jared Goff, QB, California. No surprise here as they didn’t give away the keys to the city for anything other than what they consider the best QB in the draft.
2. Philadelphia Eagles: Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State. The bold trade up sees the new Eagles regime banking on the FCS wunderkind.
3. San Diego Chargers: DeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon. It might not be at this slot, but the fire to the Buckner/SD smoke is real.
4. Dallas Cowboys: Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State. Pairing the versatile, highly-skilled Ramsey with last year’s first-rounder Byron Jones gives the Cowboys a dynamic young secondary. Zeke Elliott still wouldn’t surprise me. Joey Bosa would.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State. I had several trades projected here but ultimately settled on a guy who really fits their needy defense. If they trade back, I suspect it’s for Myles Jack and the bonus picks
6. Baltimore Ravens: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame. Hard to pass on Tunsil but many believe the Ravens are one of the founders of the “Stanley > Tunsil” whispers. In one draft version I scrapped I had them trading up to get Jalen Ramsey.
7. San Francisco 49ers: Myles Jack, DEF, UCLA. Jack is impossible to slot with any accuracy. He could go 5, he could go here, he could even drop beyond 14 with his questionable knee and lack of a defined position. I can see Chip Kelly loving him and taking the chance. Tunsil here makes a lot of sense too. I don’t see a QB, not here.
8. *New York Jets (trade w/ Cleveland): Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis. It gets wild as the Jets ship No. 20 overall, Muhammad Wilkerson and 3rd round picks this year and next to the Browns to secure their QB of the future in Lynch. If the Browns keep the pick, which is definitely more likely than this concoction, I believe they take a defender like Shaq Lawson or Sheldon Rankins.
In the alternate scenario, Miami trades up here and takes Zeke Elliott, the Browns take Leonard Floyd or Darron Lee at 13.
9. *Tennessee Titans (trade w/ Tampa Bay): Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss. The player they would have taken at No. 1 is ripe for the picking, so the Titans package some of the bountiful pick harvest from the Rams (15 and a 2nd and 3rd, take your pick which ones) and stop the free fall for arguably the best overall player in the draft in Tunsil.
If the Bucs stay, Vernon Hargreaves seems to have a lot of traction and I won’t fight that. Tunsil would have to tempt them too.
10. New York Giants: Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State. They did take a first-round OT last year, but that pick already looks tenuous and they lost Will Beatty too. I know the Giants have done extensive homework on Conklin, who would definitely elevate the run game.
11. Chicago Bears: Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville. Lots of smoke to this selection. Is the fire real? It certainly makes sense for the Bears to bolster the pass rush even if the talented Rankins seems an odd schematic fit.
12. New Orleans Saints: Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson. Many think Lawson’s linemate Kevin Dodd has a chance to be the pick here, but with Lawson dropping I can’t see a team choosing Dodd over him. All signs point to pass rush help here. Sleeper pick: A’Shawn Robinson
13. Miami Dolphins: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State. In this case they don’t have to move up to land the highly talented Buckeye back, as many expect they might do. This could be the pick at No. 7 or 8 too.
14. Oakland Raiders: Darron Lee, DEF, Ohio State. I changed Lee’s designation from LB to DEF because some teams view him as a safety. The fungible position is growing in popularity and the Raiders need help at either spot. I’m told they really, really like Jack Conklin, read into that what you will…
15. *Tampa Bay Buccaneers (above trade w/ TEN): Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida. Many expect this to be the pick at 9, so at 15 in my mythical trade it makes perfect sense.
16. Detroit Lions: Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama. I had the Lions trading down and taking Kelly, but none of the trades I fabricated made sense. That doesn’t mean Detroit won’t trade down and take Kelly. Know this: the team sees center as a significantly bigger short-term problem area than offensive tackle, if they go OL. A defensive lineman is certainly a possibility, as is William Jackson.
17. Atlanta Falcons: Leonard Floyd, LB, Georgia. One of the most common projections for some time, I’ll roll with it. There are whispers Keanu Neal is in play but I’ll believe it when I see it. Sleeper pick: Will Fuller.
18. Indianapolis Colts: A’Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama. Because Ryan Grigson will disappoint Colts fans once again, as is his custom in throwing first-round curveballs. But understand the NFL views Robinson as an impact player a lot more than the media does.
19. Buffalo Bills: Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson. I head the QB noise and taking Connor Cook here wouldn’t surprise me one bit. Christian Hackenberg? That’s a stretch. Dodd replaces Mario Williams and don’t forget this is a Ryan Brothers team that wants to disrupt the opposing offense more than it wants to succeed with its own offense. Robert Nkemdiche was a strong consideration.
20. *Cleveland Browns (from earlier trade w/ NYJ): Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame. I had Cleveland jockeying back up with the extra picks, but it just got to complicated. They have to get RG3, or whomever the next QB du jour will be, significantly better weapons. Fuller brings field-stretching speed and big-play potential.
21. Washington: Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama. The Josh Norman surprise means the team can focus on the lines. It’s a poorly kept secret they covet Ryan Kelly, but here they get his Alabama teammate to fortify the middle of the defense. A trade back here for a team coming up to get a QB is a real possibility.
22. Houston Texans: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor. Many expect a wideout here, and it makes sense. Coleman brings a dynamic downfield threat to complement Nuk Hopkins. Could be Josh Doctson. Could also be Taylor Decker if Rick Smith opts for OL help.
23. Minnesota Vikings: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU. Another widely projected pick that seems to have real legs. This is another viable trade-up spot for a team like Cleveland or San Francisco looking to come up and get a QB like Connor Cook.
24. Cincinnati Bengals: Keanu Neal, S, Florida. He’s invited to the draft for a reason, and the hard-hitting safety waits no longer as the Bengals make the surprise pick here. The way the WRs played out here is the worst-case scenario.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: William Jackson III, CB, Houston. I think most folks in Chicago for the draft, and certainly those in Western PA, would be surprised if Jackson isn’t the pick under these circumstances. Keanu Neal definitely in play if this unfolds differently.
26. Seattle Seahawks: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State. He’s not the athletic freak they’ve often targeted, but he’s no slouch either. Decker is also a tough, highly competitive football player and Pete Carroll & Co. value that very highly.
27. Green Bay Packers: Chris Jones, DT, Mississippi State. Slotting Jones is difficult because he’s quite skilled but also one of the least talked about top 40 players in recent memory. He can play all over the line in Green Bay’s diverse defense and has impact upside. I had Reggie Ragland here before editing.
28. Kansas City Chiefs: Germain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M. I had Laquon Treadwell here and he could very well be the pick, but opted with the long Aggie after looking at their depth chart along the offensive line.
29. Arizona Cardinals: Robert Nkemdiche, DT, Ole Miss. Questions about his quirky personality and underwhelming production drag Nkemdiche down, but his athletic potential remains sky high for the right team. I’m guessing the Cardinals think they’re that team. Trade back from here seems more likely than not.
30. Carolina Panthers: T.J. Green, DB, Clemson. Green’s astronomical rise from middle-round safety to first-round corner is complete as the Panthers scramble to replace Josh Norman. The athleticism is there, and if he develops like Norman did makes GM Dave Gettleman look genius.
31. Denver Broncos: Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State. I’ve argued until I’m blue in the face Cook is the most NFL-ready QB in this draft, and he goes to a team which needs that more than it needs developmental upside.
Second Round
32. Cleveland: Karl Joseph, S, West Virginia
33. Tennessee: Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
34. Dallas: Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State
35. San Diego: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
36. Baltimore: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
37. San Francisco: Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech
38. Jacksonville: Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
39. Tampa Bay: Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
40. New York Giants: Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas
41. Chicago: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
42. Miami: Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State
43. Tennessee: Kamalei Correa, OLB, Boise State
44. Oakland: Cody Whitehair, OL, Kansas State
45. Tennessee: Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama
46. Detroit: Austin Johnson, DT, Penn State
47. New Orleans: Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State
48. Indianapolis: LeRaven Clark, OT, Texas Tech
49. Buffalo: Christian Hackenberg, QB, Penn State
50. Atlanta: Braxton Miller, WR, Ohio State
51. New York Jets: Jonathan Bullard, DT, Florida
52. Houston: Austin Hooper, TE, Stanford
53. Washington: Nick Martin, C, Notre Dame
54. Minnesota: Darian Thompson, S, Boise State
55. Cincinnati: Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA
56. Seattle: Noah Spence, OLB/DE, Eastern Kentucky
57. Green Bay: Jihad Ward, DE, Illinois
58. Pittsburgh: Joshua Garnett, OG, Stanford
59. Kansas City: Xavien Howard, CB, Baylor
60. New England: Sean Davis, DB, Maryland
61. New England: Shilique Calhoun, DE, Michigan State
62. Carolina: Devontae Booker, RB, Utah
63. Denver: Javon Hargrave, DT, South Carolina State
Third Round
64. Tennessee: Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma
65. Cleveland: Su’a Cravens, S, USC
66. San Diego: Graham Glasgow, C/OG, Michigan
67. Dallas: Dak Prescott, QB, Mississippi State
68. San Francisco: KeiVarae Russell, CB, Notre Dame
69. Jacksonville: Artie Burns, CB, Miami FL
70. Baltimore: Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh
71. New York Giants: Deion Jones, LB, LSU
72. Chicago: Kevin Hogan, QB, Stanford
73. Miami: B.J. Goodson, LB, Clemson
74. Tampa Bay: Ronald Blair, DE, Appalachian State
75. Oakland: C.J. Prosise, RB, Notre Dame
76. Tennessee: Jaylon Smith, LB, Notre Dame
77. Cleveland: Bronson Kaufusi, DE, BYU
78. New Orleans: Will Redmond, CB, Mississippi State
79. Philadelphia: Miles Killebrew, S/LB, Southern Utah
80. Buffalo: Christian Westerman, OG, Arizona State
81. Atlanta: Joshua Perry, LB, Ohio State
82. Indianapolis: DeAndre Houston-Carson, S, William & Mary
83. New York Jets: Roberto Aguayo, PK, Florida State
84. Washington: Jatavis Brown, LB, Akron
85. Houston: Jacoby Brissett, QB, North Carolina State
86. Minnesota: Maliek Collins, DT, Nebraska
87. Cincinnati: Matt Judon, DE, Grand Valley State
88. Green Bay: Blake Martinez, ILB, Stanford
89. Pittsburgh: Cardale Jones, QB, Ohio State
90. Seattle: Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana
91. New England: Leonte Carroo, WR, Rutgers
92. Arizona: Jalen Mills, CB, LSU
93. Carolina: Quinton Jefferson, DT, Maryland
94. Denver: Kentrell Brothers, ILB, Missouri
95. Detroit: Justin Simmons, S, Boston College
96. New England: Jack Allen, C, Michigan State
97. Seattle: Max Tuerk, C, USC
98. Denver: Sheldon Day, DT, Notre Dame
Fourth Round
99. Cleveland: Chris Moore, WR, Cincinnati
100. Cleveland: Alex Collins, RB, Arkansas
101. Dallas: Kenneth Dixon, RB, Louisiana Tech
102. San Diego: Adam Gotsis, DT, Georgia Tech
103. Jacksonville: Joe Dahl, OL, Washington State
104. Baltimore: Dominique Robertson, OT, West Georgia
105. San Francisco: Malcolm Mitchell, WR, Georgia
106. Chicago: Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
107. Miami: Evan Boehm, C, Missouri
108. Tampa Bay: DeVondre Campbell, LB, Minnesota
109. New York Giants: Daniel Braverman, WR, Western Michigan
110. Los Angeles: Jerell Adams, TE, South Carolina
111. Detroit: Charone Peake, WR, Clemson
112. New Orleans: Joe Thuney, OG, North Carolina State
113. Los Angeles: Yannick Nkagoue, DE, Maryland
114. Oakland: Jeremy Cash, S, Duke
115. Atlanta: Ryan Smith, CB, North Carolina Central
116. Indianapolis: Kyler Fackrell, OLB, Utah State
117. Buffalo: Isaac Semualo, OG, Oregon State
118. New York Jets: Jordan Jenkins, DE/OLB, Georgia
119. Houston: Carl Nassib, DE, Penn State
120. Washington: Aaron Burbridge, WR, Michigan State
121. Minnesota: Daryl Worley, CB, West Virginia
122. Cincinnati: Caleb Benenoch, OT, UCLA
123. Pittsburgh: Hassan Ridgeway, DT, Texas
124. Seattle: Kalan Reed, CB, Southern Miss
125. Green Bay: Nick Vannett, TE, Ohio State
126. Kansas City: Jeff Driskel, QB, Louisiana Tech
127. Chicago: Charles Tapper, DE, Oklahoma
128. Arizona: Kevin Byard, S, Middle Tennessee State
129. Carolina: Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn
130. Baltimore: Steven Weatherly, DE/OLB, Vanderbilt
131. Green Bay: Keyarris Garrett, WR, Tulsa
132. Baltimore: Tyler Ervin, RB, San Jose State
133. San Francisco: Cody Kessler, QB, USC
134. Baltimore: Devon Cajuste, WR/TE, Stanford
135. Dallas: Ron Thompson, DE, Syracuse
136. Denver: Temarrick Hemingway, TE, South Carolina State
137. Green Bay: Justin Zimmer, DT, Ferris State
138. Cleveland: Avery Young, G, Auburn
139. Buffalo: Paul McRoberts, WR, SE Missouri State
Fifth Round
140. Tennessee: Tom Hackett, P, Utah
141. Cleveland: Michael Thomas, WR, Southern Miss
142. San Francisco: Maurice Canady, CB, Virginia
143. Oakland: Adolphus Washington, DT, Ohio State
144. Denver: Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA
145. San Francisco: Connor McGovern, OG, Missouri
146. Jacksonville: Willie Henry, DT, Michigan
147. Miami: Dean Lowry, DE, Northwestern
148. Tampa Bay: Josh Ferguson, RB, Illinois
149. New York Giants: Eric Murray, CB, Minnesota
150. Chicago: Brandon Shell, OT, South Carolina
151. Detroit: Travis Feeney, OLB, Washington
152. New Orleans: Ben Braunecker, TE, Harvard
153. Philadelphia: Kavon Frazier, S, Central Michigan
154. Oakland: Cyrus Jones, CB, Alabama
155. Indianapolis: Dan Vitale, FB, Northwestern
156. Buffalo: Joe Schobert, LB, Wisconsin
157. Denver: Tyler Matakevich, ILB, Temple
158. Washington: Jonathan Williams, RB, Arkansas
159. Houston: Nick Kwiatkowski, ILB, West Virginia
160. Minnesota: Arjen Colquhoun, CB, Michigan State
161. Cincinnati: Willie Beavers, OT, Western Michigan
162. Kansas City: Jayron Kearse, S, Clemson
163. Green Bay: James Bradberry, CB, Samford
164. Philadelphia: Kolby Listenbee, WR, TCU
165. Kansas City: Rashard Robinson, CB, LSU
166. Houston: D.J. Reader, DT, Clemson
167. Arizona: Vadal Alexander, OG, LSU
168. Carolina: Spencer Drango, OL, Baylor
169. Detroit: Joe Haeg, OT, North Dakota State
170. Arizona: Zack Sanchez, CB, Oklahoma
171. Seattle: Devin Lucien, WR, Arizona State
172. Cleveland: Darius Jackson, RB, Eastern Michigan
173. Cleveland: Beniquez Brown, OLB, Mississippi State
174. San Francisco: Romeo Okwara, DE, Notre Dame
175. San Diego: Vernon Adams, QB, Oregon
Sixth Round
176. Cleveland: Beau Sandland, TE, Montana State
177. Los Angeles: Ricardo Louis, WR, Auburn
178. San Francisco: Jared Norris, LB, Utah
179. San Diego: David Morgan, TE, UTSA
180. Minnesota: Daniel Lasco, RB, California
181. Jacksonville: Morgan Burns, CB/KR, Kansas State
182. Baltimore: Nick Van Hoose, CB, Northwestern
183. Tampa Bay: Tavon Young, CB, Temple
184. New York Giants: K.J. Dillon, S, West Virginia
185. Chicago: Fahn Cooper, OT, Ole Miss
186. Miami: Clayton Fejedelem, S, Illinois
187. Washington: Roy Robertson-Harris, DE/OLB, UTEP
188. Philadelphia: Deon Bush, S, Miami FL
189. Dallas: Anthony Zettel, DT, Penn State
190. Los Angeles: Matt Skura, C, Duke
191. Detroit: Shaneil Jenkins, DE, Shepherd
192. Buffalo: Marshaun Coprich, RB, Southern Illinois
193. Tennessee: Jerald Hawkins, OT, LSU
194. Oakland: Antonio Morrison, LB, Florida
195. Houston: Ted Karras, OG, Illinois
196. New England: Victor Ochi, OLB, Stony Brook
197. Tampa Bay: Rashard Higgins, WR, Colorado State
198. San Diego: Tyrone Holmes, OLB, Montana
199. Cincinnati: Elandon Roberts, ILB, Houston
200. Green Bay: Pharoh Cooper, WR, South Carolina
201. Jacksonville: Doug Middleton, S, Appalachian State
202. Detroit: Matt Ioannidis, DT, Temple
203. Kansas City: Dominique Alexander, LB, Oklahoma
204. New England: Scooby Wright, LB, Arizona
205. Arizona: Nate Sudfeld, QB, Indiana
206. Chicago: Danzel McDaniel, DB, Kansas State
207. San Francisco: Kenyan Drake, RB, Alabama
208. New England: Darion Griswold, TE, Arkansas State
209. Baltimore: Cole Toner, OT, Harvard
210. Detroit: Stephen Anderson, TE, California
211. San Francisco: Juston Burris, CB, North Carolina State
212. Dallas: Aziz Shittu, DE, Stanford
213. San Francisco: Tyvis Powell, S, Ohio State
214. New England: Dominick Jackson, OG, Alabama
215. Seattle: Vincent Valentine, DT, Nebraska
216. Dallas: Kenny Lawler, WR, California
217. Dallas: Alex Lewis, OT, Nebraska
218. Buffalo: Thomas Duarte, TE, UCLA
219. Denver: Dadi Nicolas, OLB, Virginia Tech
220. Pittsburgh: Myke Tavarres, LB, Incarnate Word
221. New England: Keenan Reynolds, RB, Navy
Seventh Round
222. Tennessee: Rees Odhiambo, OL, Boise State
223. Cleveland: Trevon Coley, DT, Florida Atlantic
224. San Diego: Drew Kaser, P, Texas A&M
225. Seattle: Josh Atkinson, CB, Azusa Pacific
226. Jacksonville: Mitch Matthews, WR, BYU
227. Miami: Moritz Boehringer, WR, Germany
228. Denver: Jordan Lucas, DB, Penn State
229. Pittsburgh: Rico Gathers, TE, Baylor
230. Chicago: Briean Boddy-Calhoun, CB, Minnesota
231. Miami: Cody Core, WR, Ole Miss
232. Washington: Reggie Diggs, WR, Richmond
233. Philadelphia: Glenn Gronkowski, FB/TE, Kansas State
234. Oakland: Trevor Davis, WR, Cal
235. New York Jets: Jaydon Mickens, WR, Washington
236. Detroit: Brandon Doughty, QB, Western Kentucky
237. New Orleans: Ross Martin, PK, Duke
238. Atlanta: Bryce Williams, TE, East Carolina
239. Indianapolis: Halapoulivaati Vaitai, OT, TCU
240. Minnesota: Geronimo Allison, WR, Illinois
241. New York Jets: Deon King, LB, Norfolk State
242. Washington: Josh Woodrum, QB, Liberty
243. New England: Steve Longa, LB, Rutgers
244. Minnesota: Vad Lee, QB, James Madison
245. Cincinnati: Darius Latham, DT, Indiana
246. Pittsburgh: Frankie Williams, CB, Purdue
247. Seattle: David Onyemata, DT, Manitoba
248. Green Bay: Jordan Canzeri, RB, Iowa
249. Kansas City: Connor Wujciak, DT, Boston College
250. New England: Ed Eagan, WR/KR, Northwestern State
251. Philadelphia: Brandon Ross, RB, Maryland
252. Carolina: Trevon Stewart, S, Houston
253. Denver: Alex Huettel, OL, Bowling Green